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Media constante: resultados del modelo GARCH = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

Media constante: resultados del modelo GARCH ================================================================================ Dep. Variable: rfut R cuadrado: 0,000 Modelo de media: Ajuste de media constante. R cuadrado: 0.000 Vol Modelo: GARCH Log-Verosimilitud: -995.431 Distribucin: Normal AIC: 1998.86 Mtodo: Mxima Verosimilitud BIC: 2015.59 No. Observaciones: 484 Fecha: Viernes, 05 de julio de 2024 Df Residuales: 483 Hora: 19:14: Modelo 33 Df: 1 modelo medio ============================================================================== coef error estndar t P>|t|95,0% Conf. En t.--------------------------------------------------------------------------- mu 0.09528.648e-021.1010.271[-7.429e-02,0.265] Modelo de volatilidad ================================================================================ coef err estndar t P>|t|95,0% Conf. En t.----------------------------------------------------------------------------- omega 0,07737,455e-021,0370,300[-6,882e-02,0,223] alfa[1]0,01341,001 e-021.3410.180[-6.189e-03,3.303e-02] beta[1]0.96522.416e-0239.9450.000[0.918,1.013]================================================================================ Estimador de covarianza: robusto Iteracin: 1, Func. Cuenta: 7, Neg. LLF: 253500083.09219185 Iteracin: 2, Func. Conteo: 16, Neg. LLF: 2358.7761062122468 Iteracin: 3, Func. Conteo: 25, Neg. LLF: 1017.1856583102043 Iteracin: 4, Func. Conteo: 32, Neg. LLF: 995.4060890906871 Iteracin: 5, Func. Conteo: 39, Neg. LLF: 1000.3448855764655 Iteracin: 6, Func. Conteo: 46, Neg. LLF: 994.4693064347338 Iteracin: 7, Func. Conteo: 53, Neg. LLF: 993.9713612424785 Iteracin: 8, Func. Conteo: 60, Neg. LLF: 993.8896326264978 Iteracin: 9, Func. Conteo: 66, Neg. LLF: 993.886022979246 Iteracin: 10, Func. Conteo: 72, Neg. LLF: 993.8859844187511 Iteracin: 11, Func. Conteo: 78, Neg. LLF: 993.8859817830952 Iteracin: 12, Func. Conteo: 83, Neg. LLF: 993.8859817832888 La optimizacin finaliz exitosamente (modo de salida 0) Valor de funcin actual: 993.8859817830952 Iteraciones: 12 Evaluaciones de funciones: 83 Evaluaciones de gradiente: 12 Media constante - Resultados del modelo EGARCH ================================================================================= Dep. Variable: rfut R cuadrado: 0,000 Modelo de media: Ajuste de media constante. R-cuadrado: 0.000 Vol Modelo: EGARCH Log-Verosimilitud: -993.886 Distribucin: Normal AIC: 1997.77 Mtodo: Mxima Verosimilitud BIC: 2018.68 No. Observaciones: 484 Fecha: Viernes, 05 de julio de 2024 Df Residuales: 483 Hora: 19:14: Modelo 33 Df: 1 modelo medio ============================================================================== coef error estndar t P>|t|95,0% Conf. En t.--------------------------------------------------------------------------- mu 0.08818.606e-021.0230.306[-8.061e-02,0.257] Modelo de volatilidad ============================================================================= coef error estndar t P>|t|95,0% Conf. En t.-------------------------------------------------------------------------- omega 1.19650.2424.9517.365e-07[0.723,1.

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