Question
Military radar and missile detection systems are designed to warn a country of an enemy attack. A reliability question is whether a detection system will
- Military radar and missile detection systems are designed to warn a country of an enemy attack. A reliability question is whether a detection system will be able to identify an attack and issue a warning. Assume that a particular detection system has a 0.90 probability of detecting a missile attack. Use the binomial probability distribution to answer the following questions
a. What is the probability that a single detection system will detect an attack?
b. If two detection systems are installed in the same area and operate independently, what is the probability that at least one of the systems will detect the attack?
c. If three systems are installed, what is the probability that at least one of the systems will detect the attack?
d. Would you recommend that multiple detection systems be used? Explain.
2. Airline passengers arrive randomly and independently at the passenger-screening facility at a major international airport. The mean arrival rate is 10 passengers per minute.
a. Compute the probability of no arrivals in a one-minute period.
b. Compute the probability that three or fewer passengers arrive in a one-minute period.
c. Compute the probability of no arrivals in a 15-second period.
d. Compute the probability of at least one arrival in a 15-second period.
3. The average stock price for companies making up the S&P 500 is $30, and the standard deviation is $8.20 (BusinessWeek, Special Annual Issue, Spring 2003). Assume the stock prices are normally distributed.
a. What is the probability a company will have a stock price of at least $40?
b. What is the probability a company will have a stock price no higher than $20?
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