Question
Oakey Wines has the option to lease a filling machine for the bottling of exclusive varieties that are sold in smaller volumes and require unique
Oakey Wines has the option to lease a filling machine for the bottling of exclusive varieties that are sold in smaller volumes and require unique bottles.There are 3 options available to Oakey Wines.Oakey Wines only want to lease the machine for 3 years.The following table summarises the year costs and excess bottling charges:
Yearly cost
Bottling allowance per year
Excess charges
Option 1
$3,960
18,000
$0.75
Option 2
$4,560
22,500
$0.65
Option 3
$5,160
27,000
$0.55
All options have an excess charge when exceeding the bottling allowance.
It has been estimated that over the 3 years of the lease, there is a 40% chance that an average of 18,000 bottles will be filled per year, a 30% chance of 22,500 bottles per year and a 30% of 27,000 per year. In evaluating the costs, Oakey Wines would like to keep the costs to a minimum.
Required:
Develop a payoff (cost) table.
- Explain and identify the maximax decision. (3 marks)
- Explain and identify the maximin decision. (3 marks)
- Explain and identify the equally likely decision. (3 marks)
- Explain and identify the minimax regret decision. (3 marks)
- Calculate the expected value of perfect information for Oakey Wines. (3 marks)
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