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on excel table and sheet please Assignment: Mr Dilshad Ali decided to lease a hybrid car to save on gasoline expenses and to do her

on excel table and sheet please

Assignment:

Mr Dilshad Ali decided to lease a hybrid car to save on gasoline expenses and to do her part to help keep the environment clean. The car he selected is available from only one dealer in the local area, but that dealer has several (3) leasing options to accommodate a variety of driving patterns. All the leases are for three years and require no money at the time of signing the lease.

The first option has a monthly cost of $333, a total mileage allowance of 36,000 miles (an average of 12,000 miles a year), and a cost of 0.35 per mile for any miles over 36,000.

The following table summarizes each of the three lease options:

3-Year Lease

Monthly Cost

Mileage Allowance

Cost per excess mile

Option 1

$333

36,000

$ 0.35

Option 2

$378

45,000

$ 0.25

Option 3

$430

54,000

$ 0.15

Mr Dilshad Ali estimated that during the 3 years of the lease, there is a 40% chance that he will drive an average of 12,000 miles per year, a 30% chance that he will drive 15,000 miles a year, and a 30% chance that he will drive 18,000 miles a year. In evaluating these lease options, Dilshad Ali aims to keep his costs as low as possible.

Questions: (Total marks: 25)

Develop a payoff (cost) table for this situation.

What decision would Dilshad make if he was optimistic?

What decision would Dilshad make if he was pessimistic?

What decision would Dilshad make if he wanted to minimize her expected cost (monetary value)?

Calculate the expected value of perfect information for this problem.

Important: For all answers, please show ALL the workings (i.e. all steps)!

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