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On slide 1 1 of the mini - lecture on risk and expected value, we calculate an expected value of hurricane flood damage using the
On slide of the minilecture on risk and expected value, we calculate an expected value of hurricane flood damage using the assumptions from earlier in the slideshow. The answer comes out to $ Which statement below describes the logic of the "full calculation" on that slide? Question Answer The total expected value captures the probabilityweighted average damage for both Cat storms and storms below Cat Both expected damages are also calculated as probabilityweighted averages. The full calculation captures how riskaverse we should be: since the damage from Cat and higher storms is so much worse than the damage from storms below Cat the expected value puts more emphasis on this bad outcome and actually overstates the damage. The full calculation captures how riskaverse we should be: since the damage from Cat and higher storms is so much worse than the damage from storms below Cat the expected value puts less emphasis on this bad outcome and actually understates the damage.
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