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On the EBITDA forecast tab, provide an EBITDA forecast for FYE Feb 2008. Use the Adjusted 2007 column results as a basis for the forecast.

On the EBITDA forecast tab, provide an EBITDA forecast for FYE Feb 2008. Use the Adjusted 2007 column results as a basis for the forecast. Assume Sales grow 6%. Carry forward the gross profit margin percentage and operating income margin percentage from the Adjusted 2007 column. Use these to find the dollar amounts for COGS and SG&A. For example, calculate $COGS as 100% minus Adjusted 2007 gross profit percentage, times the sales amount (you will not have the adjustment items like inventory impairment in the forecast year). Hold the depreciation percentage constant. Use the resulting EBITDA to calculate a forward EV/EBITDA multiple, using the $7.3B transaction value as enterprise value. Record this as the base case value. Next, assume the gross margin reaches its 2005 high of 29.5% and SGA% of sales declines back to 22%. Calculate this best-case multiple.

EBITDA forecast
Net Income (in thousands of $)
Fiscal years ended February 2, 2008 Forecast Adjusted 2007 2007 2006 2005
(52 weeks) (52 weeks) (53 weeks) (52 weeks)
Net sales $9,169,822 100% $9,169,822 100% 100% $8,582,237 100% $7,660,927 100%
Cost of goods sold 6,801,617 74.2 6,801,617 74.2 74.2 6,117,413 71.3 5,397,735 70.5
(70,200) -0.8
(42,650) -0.5
Gross profit 2,481,055 27.1 2,368,205 25.8 25.8 2,464,824 28.7 2,263,192 29.5
Selling, general & administrative expense 2,119,929 23.1 2,119,929 23.1 23.1 1,902,957 22.2 1,706,216 22.3
-33,400 -0.4
-1,400 0.0
13,000 0.1
Operating income 382,926 4.2 248,276 2.7 2.7 561,867 6.5 556,976 7.3
Depreciation 200,608 2.2 200,608 2.2 2.2 186,824 2.2 164,478 2.1
EBITDA 583,534 6.4 448,884 4.9 4.9 748,691 8.7 721,454 9.4
EV/EBITDA base case
EV/EBITDA best case

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