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One of the simplest mathematical models known in epidemiology is so-called SIRD model. It is defined by the following system of differential equations s'
One of the simplest mathematical models known in epidemiology is so-called SIRD model. It is defined by the following system of differential equations s' (t) I(t)S(t) I'(t) = 1(t)S(t)-al(t)- yl(t) R' (t) = al(t) D' (t) = y(t) where S(t) denotes the number of susceptible individuals, I(t) denotes the num- ber of infected individuals, R(t) denotes the number of recovered individuals, D(t) denotes the number of deceased individuals, 8 is the infection rate, a is the recovery rate, y is the mortality rate, and N=5+1+R+D. Assume that S(0) = 997, I(0) = 3, R(0) = 0, D(0)=0,8 = 0.4, a = 0.035, y = 0.005, and te [0, 150]. Use Matlab ODE solver ode45 to calculate the numerical solution of SIRD model with given parameters and initial conditions. Plot in one frame the numerical solutions of S(t), I(t), R(t), and D(t) against time. What do you observe from the plots and how do you interpret the dynamics of the system? Write the code implementing the third order Runge-Kutta method (RK3) given by the following Butcher table: 0 1/2 1/2 1 -1 2 1/6 2/3 1/6 Use RK3 method with stepsize = 10-3 to find the numerical solution of SIRD model with given parameters and initial conditions. Plot in one frame the numerical solutions of S(t), I(t), R(t), and D(t) against time. Make a qualitative comparison with the results obtained with ode45 solver.
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