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Over the past month, George the Tortoise has been flipped onto his back 241 times by Angie the Tortoise. George has been able to get

Over the past month, George the Tortoise has been flipped onto his back 241 times by Angie the Tortoise. George has been able to get back on his feet without help 15 times. What's the empirical probability that George will be able to get back on his feet without help the next time Angie flips him over?

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