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Panera Bread Projected Cash Flows For Fiscal Years Ending 12/31 (in $ millions) (Actual) (Forecast) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected) (Projected) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
Panera Bread | ||||||||
Projected Cash Flows | ||||||||
For Fiscal Years Ending 12/31 (in $ millions) | (Actual) | (Forecast) | (Projected) | (Projected) | (Projected) | (Projected) | ||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | |||
INCOME STATEMENT | ||||||||
Total Revenues | $2,795.4 | $2,846.1 | $3,083.1 | $3,374.4 | $3,886.9 | $4,220.0 | ||
Growth YoY | 1.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 15.2% | 8.6% | |||
Cost of Sales | $2,205.4 | $2,220.0 | $2,404.8 | $2,632.0 | $3,031.8 | $3,291.6 | ||
78.9% | 78.0% | 78.0% | 78.0% | 78.0% | 78.0% | |||
Gross Profit | $590.0 | $626.1 | $678.3 | $742.4 | $855.1 | $928.4 | ||
Operating Expenses | $195.8 | $196.0 | $199.9 | $203.9 | $208.0 | $212.2 | ||
Depreciation & Amortization | $154.4 | $155.0 | $155.0 | $155.0 | $155.0 | $155.0 | ||
Total Operating Expenses | $350.2 | $351.0 | $354.9 | $358.9 | $363.0 | $367.2 | ||
12.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | |||
EBIT | $239.8 | $275.1 | $323.4 | $383.4 | $492.1 | $561.2 | ||
Adjustments | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | ||
EBIT (Adjusted) | $239.8 | $275.1 | $323.4 | $383.4 | $492.1 | $561.2 | ||
8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 13.3% | |||
Other Income (Expense) | ($1.4) | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | $0.0 | ||
Interest Expense (Income) | $8.9 | $12.8 | $13.7 | $14.8 | $16.2 | $18.7 | ||
Pre-Tax Income | $229.5 | $262.3 | $309.7 | $368.7 | $475.9 | $542.6 | ||
Income Tax Expense | $84.3 | $94.43 | $111.49 | $132.71 | $171.33 | $195.33 | ||
36.7% | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | 36.0% | |||
Net Income | $145.2 | $167.9 | $198.2 | $235.9 | $304.6 | $347.3 | ||
Depreciation & Amortization | $154.4 | $155.0 | $155.0 | $155.0 | $155.0 | $155.0 | ||
EBITDA | $394.1 | $430.1 | $478.4 | $538.4 | $647.1 | $716.2 | ||
CASH FLOW | ||||||||
Capital Expenditures | $200 | $211 | $200 | $196 | $196 | $193 | ||
Prepare a discounted cash flow analysis of Panera Bread based on the consensus forecast, with an exit valuation multiple of 16.8x EBITDA in 2021, and calculate the present value of one share.
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