Part 1: Consider two files introducing the development of the DCF model as posted on Week 1:

Aquaculture Pour La Sante Project Outline.pdfDownload Aquaculture Pour La Sante Project Outline.pdf

These Prawns Save Humans From Disease.pdfDownload These Prawns Save Humans From Disease.pdf

Week 1 DCF Business Case.pdfDownload Week 1 DCF Business Case.pdf

Download Aquaculture Pour La Sante Project Outline.pdf

Based on the information supplied, prepare a brief VUCA Assessment Matrix for the project (similar to Lecture 1 Part 3 VUCA Assessment .xlsx Download Lecture 1 Part 3 VUCA Assessment .xlsxDownload Lecture 1 Part 3 VUCA Assessment .xlsx). Briefly describe the process by which you arrived at your group-wide suggestions and how you accounted for each group member own views in your group-wide suggestions.

Your VUCA factors of concern can be company-specific (e.g. production shock), environmental (contamination of natural waterways with waste), social (local or political unrest), macroeconomic (a global recession impacting sales), or even geopolitical (change in corruption environment impacting the business). You can reference the taxonomy of risks presented in Lecture 1 Part 3.

Likelihood, impact, velocity and proximity metrics you choose to assign to these VUCA factors should reflect your team/group views, but they should be based on some reasoning/empirical evidence. You should provide such evidence links/references etc) in the VUCA Assessment Matrix.

Part 2: Based on Part 1, choose one of the factors for risk/volatility or uncertainty you identified as being the most important to the project from your group perspective.

(a) Briefly outline how you can integrate this factor into the baseline DCF model (see Week 2 DCF model file).

(b) Integrate this factor into the baseline DCF model. Carry out model calculations for this factor through Week 3 DCF model file.

(c) Discuss the results and compare your model calculations in (b) above to the baseline model results contained in the Week 3 DCF model file. Specifically: compare and discuss how Company Revenues, Costs, EBITDA, Net Income, Remediation & Impact Funds, Operating Income Before Tax, Operating Income After Tax, and After Tax Operating Cash Flow change when you integrated your risk factor into the model compared to the baseline model.

Note 1: If it helps, you can discuss with me the factor chosen for Part 2 (a) before you proceed to question (b).

Note 2: In your answers to Part 2, make sure all assumptions made and all changes calculated across the model are clearly identified and marked.

Note 3: It is up to your group to decide how you want to present your analysis, summarize your assumptions and develop your VUCA arguments.