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PART A,B &C. Consider the following scenario analysis: Rate of Return Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds Recession 0.20 5 % 17 % Normal economy 0.50 20

PART A,B &C.

Consider the following scenario analysis:

Rate of Return
Scenario Probability Stocks Bonds
Recession 0.20 5 % 17 %
Normal economy 0.50 20 % 9 %
Boom 0.30 29 % 7 %

a. Is it reasonable to assume that Treasury bonds will provide higher returns in recessions than in booms?

multiple choice

  • No

  • Yes

b. Calculate the expected rate of return and standard deviation for each investment. (Do not round intermediate calculations. Enter your answers as a percent rounded to 1 decimal place.)

c. Which investment would you prefer?

STOCK

  • more risk-averse
  • less risk-averse
  • risk-neutral

BOND

  • more risk-averse
  • less risk-averse
  • risk-neutral

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