Question
NET firm is trying to decide between five mutually exclusive one-year projects. Return Probability of return occurring Project 1 16 1.0 Project 2 20 1.0
| Return | Probability of return occurring |
Project 1 | 16 | 1.0 |
Project 2 | 20 | 1.0 |
Project 3 | -16 | 0.25 |
| 36 | 0.50 |
| 48 | 0.25 |
Project 4 | -8 | 0.25 |
| 16 | 0.50 |
| 24 | 0.25 |
Project 5 | -40 | 0.10 |
| 0 | 0.60 |
| 100 | 0.30 |
Please work out the likely outcome for each project and discuss whether you can make informed decision according to this.
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