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Please upload the answers with excel form Consider the real GDP data, denoted by Yt , in the Excel file ECS - TimeSeries. Select the

Please upload the answers with excel form

Consider the real GDP data, denoted by Yt , in the Excel file "ECS - TimeSeries". Select the optimal lag length for the GDP process up to the AR(5) model using the data from 1950 to 2018, and use the selected model to estimate the real GDP in year 2019. Then find out the forecast error according to the data in 2019.

countrycode country currency_unit year Yt
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1950 170756.3125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1951 177143.0938
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1952 193714.7813
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1953 203463.1094
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1954 202076.0625
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1955 221434.25
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1956 240490.1563
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1957 244851.3281
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1958 249241.3281
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1959 260682.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1960 268921.7813
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1961 278586.4688
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1962 296021.1563
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1963 310652.125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1964 332332.375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1965 354861.5938
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1966 378259.625
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1967 389247.5938
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1968 407149.875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1969 427915.4375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1970 437890.1563
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1971 459102.3438
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1972 487027.2188
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1973 529249.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1974 559392.1875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1975 565140.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1976 600391.8125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1977 613608
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1978 631335.9375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1979 664797.25
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1980 676189.875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1981 693843.625
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1982 665228.4375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1983 690259.6875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1984 736258.4375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1985 777071.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1986 791508.25
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1987 837235.8125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1988 886933.375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1989 918179.9375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1990 915724.6875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1991 893206.4375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1992 901133.75
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1993 928149.25
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1994 979112.6875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1995 1023227.563
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1996 1053691.25
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1997 1106804.875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1998 1136820.125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 1999 1208894.125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2000 1276875.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2001 1272416.75
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2002 1278943
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2003 1320633.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2004 1377227.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2005 1436814.125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2006 1459523.25
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2007 1483753.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2008 1500647.875
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2009 1408601.375
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2010 1483011.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2011 1552403.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2012 1575739.75
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2013 1647212.125
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2014 1685110.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2015 1659691.75
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2016 1683513.5
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2017 1771272.75
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2018 1815590.75
CAN Canada Canadian Dollar 2019 1846581.125

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