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Compute P(E=Good) Compute P(S=Yes, H=Yes) Compute P(N=No, S=Yes, H=No, E=Good) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Compute P(E=Good|N=Yes) Compute P(E=Bad|S=No) P(N=Yes) P(N=No) 0.8 0.2 P(S=Yes)

 

Compute P(E=Good) Compute P(S=Yes, H=Yes) Compute P(N=No, S=Yes, H=No, E=Good) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) Compute P(E=Good|N=Yes) Compute P(E=Bad|S=No) P(N=Yes) P(N=No) 0.8 0.2 P(S=Yes) P(S=No) Party Last Night (N) 0.1 0.9 Sick (S) Hangover (H) P(H=Yes) P(H=No) Exam Result (E) Yes 0.9 0.1 No 0.8 0.2 S P(E=Good) P(E=Bad) Y Y 0.1 0.9 Y 0.5 0.5 NY 0.6 0.4 N 0.7 0.3

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