Question
Poisson processes can effectively model the arrival of shocks to a system (e.g., disruptions in a financial system, physical phenomena, surges in demand, etc.). Suppose
Poisson processes can effectively model the arrival of shocks to a system (e.g., disruptions in a financial system, physical phenomena, surges in demand, etc.). Suppose that we model the arrival of shocks to a system as a Poisson process with a rate of = 2 shocks per hour.
(1) The system starts at time t = 0. Calculate the probability that exactly three shocks occur by time t = 1.
(2) The system experiences 7 shocks over the course of five hours. Given this, calculate the probability that exactly three of the shocks occurred in the first four hours. (
3) Calculate the probability that the system experiences exactly one shock between time t = 0 and time t = 1 and three shocks between time t = 3 and time t = 6.
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