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Probabilistic Insurance II ( Kahnemann and Tversky, Econometrica, 1 9 7 9 ) . ? 1 Back at the airline ticket counter, the clerk is
Probabilistic Insurance II Kahnemann and Tversky, Econometrica, Back at the airline ticket
counter, the clerk is disappointed that you turned down the probabilistic coverage from Assignment
III. The facts are the same: you are indifferent between the "regular" policy that offers full insurance
with premium and no coverage at all. Now she offers you another kind of policy. You now only pay
up front. If your luggage is not lost, then you owe nothing more. If your luggage is lost, however,
then a fair coin is flipped: if it comes up heads, then you pay the remaining half of the premium and
are reimbursed for the value of your luggage; if it comes up tails, then your premium is refunded
and you bear the entire loss. Show that if you have riskaverse EU preferences, then you prefer the
new policy to the regular policy. Hint: Which is bigger or
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