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Problem 13-27 (Algorithmic) In a certain state lottery, a lottery ticket costs $1. In terms of the decision to purchase or not to purchase a
Problem 13-27 (Algorithmic)
In a certain state lottery, a lottery ticket costs $1. In terms of the decision to purchase or not to purchase a lottery ticket, suppose that the following payoff table applies:
State of Nature | ||
Win | Lose | |
Decision Alternatives | s1 | s2 |
Purchase Lottery Ticket, d1 | 350000 | -1 |
Do Not Purchase Lottery Ticket, d2 | 0 | 0 |
- A realistic estimate of the chances of winning is 1 in 300,000. Use the expected value approach to recommend a decision. If required, round your answer to two decimal places. If the amount is zero enter 0. Recommended decision: Purchase Lottery Ticket Expected Value = $ _______
- If a particular decision maker assigns an indifference probability of 0.00001 to the $0 payoff. Would this individual purchase a lottery ticket? Decision: Yes, Purchase Lottery Ticket Use expected utility to justify your answer. If required, round your answer to five decimal places. Expected Utility = ______
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