Question
problem Economists often estimate a general gravity model of the following form T ij = A*X a *Y b /D c Assume that the model
problem
Economists often estimate a general gravity model of the following form
Tij = A*Xa *Yb/Dc
Assume that the model above is estimated to predict volume of trade between Morocco (M) and USA . The result of the estimation is as follows:
TMUSA = (M1.3)*(USA3.5)*(D-0.8)
All the coefficients are significant and R =60%
R indicates the trade variation explained by three factors (M,USA,& D)
Where
TMUSA: represents volume of trade between Morocco and France
M: indicates Morocco GDP in USA Dollars
USA: represents USA GDP in USA Dollars
D: represents the cost (in USA dollars) of transportation between Morocco and USA .
The coefficients a,b,& c represent the elasticities of trade with respect to each factor respectively .
Using the model above answer the following questions
- What kind of relationship exits between the volume of trade and each one of its Determinants? Justify your answer based on the model estimated.
- In the framework of trade interpret the estimated coefficients (a,b,c) of the model .
- What are other factors that may explain trade other than the sizes of the economies (GDPs) and transportation cost.
- If France USA GDP increases by 2% , and Morocco GDP increases 1.2% , and the cost of transportation decreases by 3% what will be the change of the volume of trade between Morocco and USA ? show your work .
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