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Question 1 A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three alternative investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theater. Profits from the motel

Question 1

A local real estate investor in Kingston is considering three alternative investments: a motel, a restaurant, or a theater. Profits from the motel or restaurant will be affected by the availability of gasoline and the number of tourists; profits from the theater will be relatively stable under any conditions. The following payoff table shows the profit or loss that could result from each investment:

Real Estate Investor Payoff Table

Payoffs are Profits

States of Nature (Gasoline Availability)

Decision Alternatives

Shortage

Stable Supply

Surplus

Motel

$8,000

$15,000

$22,000

Restaurant

$2,000

$8,000

$6,000

Theater

$6,000

$6,000

$5,000

  1. What is the most the real estate investor would be willing to pay for additional information? Use Minimum Expected Regret (Minimum EOL) (5 points)
  2. Use the alternative method to verify EVPI (5 points)

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