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QUESTION 3 [15 MARKS] You have been instructed to assist your direct manager, who is extremely risk-averse, to make a decision between two investments, A
QUESTION 3 [15 MARKS] You have been instructed to assist your direct manager, who is extremely risk-averse, to make a decision between two investments, A and B. Both investments require an initial investment of R300 000, and they both have a most likely annual return of 15%. Your manager has brainstormed three scenarios (pessimistic, most likely and optimistic), and the expected annual returns associated with each possible scenario. The estimated returns associated with the three possible scenarios for assets A and B are detailed in the table below. Asset A R300 000 Asset B R300 000 Initial investment Annual rate of return Pessimistic Most likely Optimistic 10% 15% 18% 5% 15% 20% . Explain to your manager, and demonstrate, how to conduct a scenario analysis. Based on this analysis, discuss which asset is likely to be chosen and why
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