Question:

A group of recent college grads decides to open a new airline company called BAir. They buy one airplane that has ?

seats. They estimate that two types of travelers will purchase tickets for a certain flight on a certain date:

Leisure travelers, who are willing to pay only the discounted fare $?

Business travelers, who are willing to pay the full fare $? (where ?>?).

After quite a bit of market research, they conclude that the number of leisure travelers requesting tickets for this flight will be greater than ?

n for sure, while the number of business travelers requesting tickets is random. Please assume that the leisure travelers always purchase their tickets before the business travelers do. (In practice, this is roughly true, which is why airfares increase as the flight date gets closer).

BAir wishes to sell as many seats as possible to business travelers since they are willing to pay more. However, since the number of such travelers is random and these customers arrive near the flight's departure date, a sensible strategy is for BAir to allocate a certain number of seats ? for full fares and the remainder, ??? for discount fares.

The discount fares are sold first: The first ??? customers requesting tickets will be charged $? per ticket and the remaining (at most ?) customers will be offered the full price $? . Since leisure travelers are only willing to pay $? , they will decline to buy a full-fare ticket. Thus, if there are less than? ticket requests from business travelers, some seats will not be sold (and BAir regrets not selling them to leisure travelers). Conversely, it is possible that some of the seats sold to leisure travelers for $? could have been sold to business travelers who would have been willing to pay $? .

Question 1

Show that the problem of finding the optimal number of full-fare seats, ? , is equivalent to a newsvendor problem. Clearly define the underage cost, overage cost, and uncertainty. What is the critical ratio?

Question 2

Suppose that demand for full-fare seats is normally distributed with a mean of 40 and a standard deviation of 18 (thus ? = 40 and ? = 18). There are ?=100seats on the flight and the fares are ?=$175 and ?=$400 . What is the optimal number of full-fare seats? (Fractional solutions are OK)

Question 3

For each situation below, explain how the underage cost and the overage cost will change. How will this affect the optimal quantity reserved for full-fare customers? (No need to recalculate the optimal quantity - a qualitative answer is sufficient)

Situation 1: The full-fare tickets are fully refundable and, with some probability, each business traveler will cancel his or her ticket at the last minute, too late for BAir to re-sell the newly vacant seat.

Situation 2:Any unsold seats may be sold at the very last minute for a steeply discounted price, $? (?). These tickets are made available after the business travelers have requested tickets.

Question 4 What forecasting method would you use to estimate the future demand of this time series? U.S. retail auto sales (Son) 60 50 40 1975 1950 Winter's Method Exponential Smoothing Holt's Method Linear Regression Decomposition (linear regression and Winter's method) Question 5 DELLQuestion 3 What forecasting method would you use to estimate the future demand of this time series? Random White Noise 200 Exponential smoothing Linear Regression Multiple Linear Regression Winter's method DELL