QUESTION B2 (25 marks) A financial Analyst wants to evaluate the feasibility of his investment options. The following payoff table shows the profit ($Million) of each investment option under various future economic environments: Payoff (profit) table Economic environment Investment option Good Fair Poor X 25 8 -15 Y 20 15 -10 Z 18 5 10 According to expert's predictions the probability of the economic environments are as below: 0.40 for good economic environment, 0.50 for fair economic environment, and 0.10 for poor economic environment. Answer all the questions below by showing your workings where necessary. (a) Determine the best investment option using the following decision approach. (1) Maximin (2 marks) (ii) Maximax (2 marks) (b) (iii) Huiwicz: when coefficient of optimism a=0.4 (3 marks) (iv) Without further calculation, what would be the decision for the cases: a=1 and a=0. (2 marks) (i) By using the payoff table above, construct an opportunity loss (regret) table. (4 marks) (ii) Determine the best option by using Minimax regret approach. (2 marks) (iii) Determine the best portfolio by using Expected Opportunity Loss approach. (3 marks) Determine the portfolio which will give the best expected profits. (3 marks) Without further calculation, write down the expected value of perfect information (EVPI). Interpret the meaning of EVPI. (4 marks) (C) (d)