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Recently, an analysis of Caterpillar Inc. found that its equity beta (the beta on its stock) is 1.03. The most recent annual dividend is $4.12/share.
Recently, an analysis of Caterpillar Inc. found that its equity beta (the beta on its stock) is 1.03. The most recent annual dividend is $4.12/share. A survey of economist finds that the perceived market risk premium is around 6.5%. As of Oct 1, 2020, the yield on a 30-year U.S. Treasury was 1.45%. Given this information, answer the following questions.
- Assuming dividends are NOT expected to grow in the future. What is the expected current share price given this information?
- Assume dividends are expected to grow by 4% in perpetuity. Given this assumption, what is the expected current share price?
- Assume that dividends are expected to grow abnormally for the next 3 years at a rate of 10%. Then, long-term dividend growth is expected to stabilize at 4% annually. Given this information, what is the expected current price?
- The actual current price in mid-October is $168.75. Given this information and assuming a constant growth rate, what is the implied growth rate given this price?
Provide one or more possible explanations of why the actual price ($168.75) is so far above the prices calculated in parts (a), (b), and (c).
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