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Remember the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To

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Remember the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average (mean) value expected to occur during all possible circumstances. To computean 's expected return under a range of possible circumstances (or states of nature), multiply the anticipated return expected to rest during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence Consider the following cases lan satu-stock portfolio that invest in Blue Llama Mining Company (BM) and Hungry Whale Electronics (HWE). Three-quarters oftan's portfolio value consists of BM's shares, and the balance consists of WWE's shares. Each stocks expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following tables Market Condition Strong Normal Probability of Occurrence Blue Llama Mining 0.25 35% Hungry Whale Electronics 030 -29% -35% Ca b e expected returns for the individual stiintan's portfolio well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolie over the three The expected to return on Demaining stock over the years The ected to return on whalecon o ck over the next year The expected rate of return on an's portfolie over the years The expected returns for lan's portfolio were calculated based on three possible conditions in the market. Such conditions will vary from time to time, and for each condition there will be a specific outcome. These probabilities and outcomes can be represented in the form of a continuous probability distribution graph For comple, the continuous probability distributions of rates of return on stocks for two different companies are shown on the following graph: REALITY DENSITY Based on the stomato c h the following statements true? a company has smaller standard deviation. Company has a m a ndard deviation

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