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Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average ( mean ) value expected to occur during all possible
Remember, the expected value of a probability distribution is a statistical measure of the average mean value expected to occur during all possible To compute an asset's expected return under a range of possible circumstances or states of nature multiply the anticipated return expected to result during each state of nature by its probability of occurrence Consider the following case: owns a twostock portfolio that invests in Celestial Crane Cosmetics Company CCC and Lumbering Ox Truckmakers LOTThree quarters of Jan's portfolio value consists of CCCs shares, and the balance consists of LOT's shares Each stock's expected return for the next year will depend on forecasted market conditions. The expected returns from the stocks in different market conditions are detailed in the following table : Market Condition Probability of Occurrence Celestial Crane Cosmetics Lumbering Ox Truckmakers Strong Normal Weak Calculate expected returns for the individual stocks in lan's portfolio as well as the expected rate of return of the entire portfolia over the three possible market conditions next year The expected rate of return on Celestial Crane Cosmetics's stock over the next year is The expected rate of return on Lumbering Ox Truckmakers's stock over the next year is The expected rate of return on portfolio over the next year is
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