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Return on a portfolio may be roughly categorized into three levels: high, medium, and low. If the return is high (0.3), an investor is expected
Return on a portfolio may be roughly categorized into three levels: high, medium, and low. If the return is high (0.3), an investor is expected to have a total return of $300,000. if the return is medium (0.5), the investor is expected to have $100,000 in return. if the return is low (0.2), the investor is expected to lose $100,000. Alternatively, the investor can invest in treasury bonds and have a guaranteed return of $150,000. The investor is considering to hire a financial adviser, who can provide information about the market and help reduce risk. The adviser has suggested that the return on the portfolio would be a tossup, i.e., 50% of chance with a high return and 50% of chance with a low return. The table below summarizes the financial adviser's past performance. Should the investor hire the financial adviser? Return on the Portfolio Medium 0.4 0.6 Financial Adviser Judgement High Low High 0.6 0 Low 0 0.4
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