Right now, is the market risk premium sufficient for you to invest in the stock market?

how much do you think the stock market will return over and above the Treasury 10-year bond rate? As an investor, that is an important question to answer before you invest in the stock market. Do you think it will return enough to justify the added risk? Do you think this premium will vary for different countries or for the same country over different time spans?

Your text gives you three methods: historical risk premium, surveys of experts, and forward risk premiums. Which method do you prefer and why? What would you do if the three methods varied significantly?