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. Risk of Currency Futures. Currency futures markets are commonly used as a means of capitalizing on shifts in currency values, because the value of
Risk of Currency Futures. Currency futures markets are commonly used as a means of capitalizing on shifts in currency values, because the value
of a futures contract tends to move in line with the
change in the corresponding currency value. Recently, many currencies appreciated against the dollar. Most speculators anticipated that these currencies would continue to strengthen and took large
buy positions in currency futures. However, the
Fed intervened in the foreign exchange market by
immediately selling foreign currencies in exchange
for dollars, causing an abrupt decline in the values
of foreign currencies as the dollar strengthened
Participants that had purchased currency futures
contracts incurred large losses. One floor broker responded to the effects of the Feds intervention by
immediately selling futures contracts on British
pounds with a value of about $ million Such actions caused even more panic in the futures market.
a Explain why the central banks intervention
caused such panic among currency futures traders
with buy positions.
b Explain why the floor brokers willingness to sell
pound futures contracts at the going market
rate aroused such concern. What might this action
signal to other brokers?
c Explain why speculators with short sell positions could benefit as a result of the central banks
intervention.
d Some traders with buy positions may have responded immediately to the central banks intervention by selling futures contracts. Why would
some speculators with buy positions leave their positions unchanged or even increase their positions
by purchasing more futures contracts in response to
the central banks intervention?
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