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Sales/volume forecasting for the Metabical Pricing and Packaging, and Demand Forecasting for a New Weight-Loss Drug, using the below outline. Method 1: Year 1 Year
Sales/volume forecasting for the Metabical Pricing and Packaging, and Demand Forecasting for a New Weight-Loss Drug, using the below outline.
Method 1: | Year 1 | Year 2 | Year 3 | Year 4 | Year 5 | |
approx 34% of us population (230M) has a BMI of 25 to 30 | ||||||
Number of Americans with BMI between 25 and 30 | 78200000 | 78200000 | 78200000 | 78200000 | 78200000 | |
x 35% actively trying to lose weight | 27370000 | 27370000 | 27370000 | 27370000 | 27370000 | |
x 15% who are comfortable using diet pills | 4105500 | 4105500 | 4105500 | 4105500 | 4105500 | |
10% who might purchase Metabical in Year 1 adding 5% each subsequent year | unit sales | |||||
plus 60% buy a second package | unit sales | |||||
plus 20% of these buy a third package | unit sales | |||||
Sales | unit sales | |||||
Method 2: | ||||||
Number of Americans with BMI between 25 and 30 | ||||||
x 12% say they will go to a doctor to request prescription | ||||||
10% who might purchase Metabical in Year 1 adding 5% each subsequent year | unit sales | |||||
plus 60% buy a second package | unit sales | |||||
plus 20% of these buy a third package | unit sales | |||||
Sales | unit sales | |||||
Method 3: | ||||||
Ideal target (overweight females, 35-65, college-educated) | ||||||
30% who might purchase Metabical in Year 1 adding 5% each subsequent year | unit sales | |||||
plus 60% buy a second package | unit sales | |||||
plus 20% of these buy a third package | unit sales | |||||
Sales | unit sales |
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