Question
Samsons snow plowing business has been around for the last 20 years, based in New Paltz, New York. Samson aims to retire this year and
Samsons snow plowing business has been around for the last 20 years, based in New Paltz, New York. Samson aims to retire this year and wants to come up with a valuation in order to sell the company. Next year, Samson expects his business generate $4500 in revenues on days that it snows more than 2 inches and no revenues otherwise. However, given that it costs money to run the snow plowing equipment, the company records $1200 in compensation and fuel costs when it snows. Furthermore, the company records a $10,000 fixed cost yearly, to maintain the equipment. On top of that, Samsons snow plow depreciates at $2000 per year. Samsons friends at the local meteorology station in New Paltz have calculated that there is a 9% chance that it snows more than 2 inches on any given day in the year. Despite global warming, Samson expects his revenues to increase by 5% for the first 2 years, before the revenue growth rate drops off to 3% for the last 2 years. His operating expenses are expected to stay the same. Sams cost of equity is 20% and his cost of debt is 11%. His business has as much equity as it has debt and he pays 28% in taxes every year. Finally, Samsons company has $50000 in debt (dont worry about interest expense) and $10000 in cash. Value Sams business using a probability-weighted DCF and be sure to show your work. (Make sure to discount the first year of cash flows, project cash flows for 5 years, and 2% growth rate for the terminal value).
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