Question
Sandy trades currencies for a Middle Eastern sovereign wealth fund, focusing on the U.S. dollar/Singapore dollar ($/S$) cross-rate. The current spot rate is $0.6000/S$. She
Sandy trades currencies for a Middle Eastern sovereign wealth fund, focusing on the U.S. dollar/Singapore dollar ($/S$) cross-rate. The current spot rate is $0.6000/S$. She has S$1,000,000 to invest (notional principal).
Based on her analysis, she believes the Singapore dollar will appreciate versus the U.S. dollar in the coming 90 days, probably to about $0.7000/S$. She has the following options on the Singapore dollar to choose from:
Put on Singapore dollar: strike price = $0.6500/S$ premium = $0.00003/S$
Call on Singapore dollar: strike price = $0.6500/S$ premium = $0.00046/S$
1. Should Sandy buy a put or call on Singapore dollars? Why?
2. What is Sandy's break-even price on the option purchased in question 1? Show how you arrived at your answer.
3. If the spot rate at the end of 90-days is indeed $0.7000/S$, what is Sandy's profit or loss (including premium)? Show how you arrived at your answer.
4. If instead the spot rate at the end of 90-days ends up being $0.5000/S$, what is Sandy's profit or loss? Show how you arrived at your answer.
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