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Scenario #1: In April, you decide to sell 5 contracts of November soybean futures to lock in a price for 25,000 bushels of soybeans to

Scenario #1:

In April, you decide to sell 5 contracts of November soybean futures to lock in a price for 25,000 bushels of soybeans to be delivered at harvest.

I want you to complete the transaction at harvest, under three different scenarios; higher futures prices, lower futures prices and steady futures prices. Fill in the blanks in the Tdiagram, showing the price you received in $/bushel or in gross sales revenues (price * quantity). Ignore brokerage costs.

Date

Cash

Futures

Basis

April

Planting starts soon and with November futures above $11/bu., you have a chance to lock in a profitable price for soybeans at harvest.

Sell 5 contracts of November soybean

futures to lock in a profitable selling price at harvest.

Futures price: $11.10

Expected harvest basis is $0.65X, or 65 cents under the November contract.

Expected harvest price is

$10.45/bu.

October (harvest)

Sell 25,000 bushels of soybeans to the local elevator for $11.35/bu.

Lift the hedge buy back November soybean future at

$12.10/bu.

What is the harvest basis?

_____________________

Results

What did you receive in the cash market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What was your gain or loss in the futures market?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

What final price did you receive for your soybeans?

$/bu. _____________

$total _____________

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