Question
Scenario #1: In April, you decide to sell 5 contracts of November soybean futures to lock in a price for 25,000 bushels of soybeans to
Scenario #1:
In April, you decide to sell 5 contracts of November soybean futures to lock in a price for 25,000 bushels of soybeans to be delivered at harvest.
I want you to complete the transaction at harvest, under three different scenarios; higher futures prices, lower futures prices and steady futures prices. Fill in the blanks in the Tdiagram, showing the price you received in $/bushel or in gross sales revenues (price * quantity). Ignore brokerage costs.
Date | Cash | Futures | Basis |
April | Planting starts soon and with November futures above $11/bu., you have a chance to lock in a profitable price for soybeans at harvest.
| Sell 5 contracts of November soybean futures to lock in a profitable selling price at harvest.
Futures price: $11.10 | Expected harvest basis is $0.65X, or 65 cents under the November contract.
Expected harvest price is $10.45/bu. |
October (harvest) | Sell 25,000 bushels of soybeans to the local elevator for $11.35/bu.
| Lift the hedge buy back November soybean future at $12.10/bu. | What is the harvest basis?
_____________________ |
Results | What did you receive in the cash market?
$/bu. _____________ $total _____________ | What was your gain or loss in the futures market? $/bu. _____________ $total _____________ | What final price did you receive for your soybeans?
$/bu. _____________ $total _____________ |
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