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Scenario analysis for a stock index fund (Upcoming Period) Scenario Probability HPR (%) Severe Recession 0.1 -40 Mild Recession 0.3 -5 Normal growth 0.45 6

Scenario analysis for a stock index fund (Upcoming Period)

Scenario

Probability

HPR (%)

Severe Recession

0.1

-40

Mild Recession

0.3

-5

Normal growth

0.45

6

Boom

0.25

38

  1. Using the scenario index fund information above, what is the expected Holding-period return of normal growth in the upcoming period?

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