Question
Security A has an expected return of 7%, a standard deviation of returns of 35%, a correlation coefficient with the market of 0.3, and a
Security A has an expected return of 7%, a standard deviation of returns of 35%, a correlation coefficient with the market of 0.3, and a beta coefficient of 1.5. Security B has an expected return of 12%, a standard deviation of returns of 10%, a correlation with the market of 0.7, and a beta coefficient of 1.0. Which security is riskier? Why?
Using Past Information to Estimate Required Returns
In the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) discussion, beta is identified as the correct measure of risk for diversified shareholders. Recall that beta measures the extent to which the returns of a given stock move with the stock market. When using the CAPM to estimate required returns, we would ideally like to know how the stock will move with the market in the future, but because we dont have a crystal ball we generally use historical data to estimate this relationship. As noted in the chapter, beta can be estimated by regressing the individual stocks returns against the returns of the overall market. As an alternative to running our own regressions, we can instead rely on reported betas from a variety of sources. These published sources make it easy to obtain beta estimates for most large publicly traded corporations. However, a word of caution is in order. Beta estimates can often be quite sensitive to the time period in which the data are estimated, the market index used, and the frequency of the data used. Therefore, it is not uncommon to find a wide range of beta estimates among the various published sources. Indeed, Thomson ONE reports multiple beta estimates. These multiple estimates reflect the fact that Thomson ONE puts together data from a variety of different sources. Select one of the four stocks listed in question 2 by selecting COMPANIES, entering the companys ticker symbol, and clicking on GO. On the overview page, you should see a chart that summarizes how the stock has done relative to the S&P 500 over the past 6 months. Has the stock outperformed or underperformed the overall market during this time period?
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