Senario analysis Help: You are about to hire a new central -regional director for the fifth time this year. You predicted that the next director should work out reasonably well, since the last four were "lemons", and the odds favor that you should hire at least one good sales director after five tries.

Assumptions

• The advertisement correctly described the position and requirements and was posted in the appropriate databases in accordance to HR rules.
• Your interview techniques, questions, and tests given were appropriate.

Is this thinking correct or incorrect? And why?