Setup: Baker Corp. has several new projects that look attractive, but some are riskier than the firm's past projects. Baker has received a major inflow of cash from a venture capital firm, in exchange for 25% of the firm's closely held stock. The VC firm has asked Baker managers to "run the numbers" to examine both the market outlook and the expected returns on each of the projects they are considering. The cash infusion will not cover all the proposed projects; Baker and its new investors need to know which projects should be approved.

Based on Baker's earnings history over the past 10 years across a variety of projects, which have covered various states of the economy, the venture capital execs want Baker to estimate their overall returns. Given the following estimates of economy over the next several years, determine Baker's expected rate of return.