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Sheila Goodman recently received her MBA from the Harvard Business School. She has joined the family business, Goodman Software Products Incorporated, as Vice - President

Sheila Goodman recently received her MBA from the Harvard Business School. She has joined the family business, Goodman Software Products Incorporated, as Vice-President of Finance. She believes in adjusting projects for risk. Her father is somewhat skeptical but agrees to go along with her. Her approach is somewhat different than the risk-adjusted discount rate approach, but achieves the same objective. She suggests that the inflows for each year of a project be adjusted downward for lack of certainty and then be discounted back at a risk-free rate. The theory is that the adjustment penalty makes the inflows the equivalent of risk-less inflows, and therefore a risk-free rate is justified.
A table showing the possible coefficient of variation for an inflow and the associated adjustment factor is shown next:
\table[[\table[[Coefficient of],[Variation]],\table[[Adjustment],[Factor]]],[0-0.25,0.90],[0.26-0.50,0.80],[0.51-0.75,0.70],[0.76-1.00,0.60],[1.01-1.25,0.50]]
Assume a $165,000 project provides the following inflows with the associated coefficients of variation for each year.
\table[[Year,Inflow,\table[[Coefficient of],[Variation]]],[1,$30,600,0.14],[2,56,100,0.24],[3,73,800,0.48],[4,61,700,0.85],[5,67,700,1.11]]
Use Appendix B for an approximate answer but calculate your final answer using the formula and financial calculator methods.
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