Skill when we win, bad luck when we lose.

Do you think other dynamics are at play? If so what might those be?

Intuition-not as trustworthy as we would like to believe.

Well seasoned executives, those with 20+ years in their industry are only correct 50% of the time when they use intuition to make decisions.

Why do we think intuition is more reliable?

We tend to forget the times it failed and recall those events where it was successful....the plasticity of the human mind/memory is well established.

(Pleas help me explain in an easy way)