Question
SOLVE BY USING QM EXCEL Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has been thinking about starting her own
SOLVE BY USING QM EXCEL
Even though independent gasoline stations have been having a difficult time, Susan Solomon has been thinking about starting her own independent gasoline station. Susans problem is to decide how large her station should be. The annual returns will depend on both the size of her station and a number of marketing factors related to the oil industry and demand for gasoline. After a careful analysis, Susan developed the following table: Size of first station good market Fair market poor market
Good MArket Fair Market Poor Market
Small 50,000 20,000 -10,000
Medium 80,000 30,000 -20,000
Large 100,000 30,000 -40,000
Very large 300,000 25,000 -160,000
For example, if Susan and the market is good, she will realize a profit of $50,000.
(a) Develop a decision table for this decision. (b) What is the maximax decision? (c) What is the maximin decision? (d) What is the equally likely decision? (e) What is the criterion of realism decision? Use an a value of 0.8. (f) Develop an opportunity loss table. (g) What is the minimax regret decision?
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