Solve the following problems
Question 1 (understanding mean and variance of linear combinations of random variables) Let T_15 be the percentage of adult males who used tobacco products in 2015 in a country and T_10 be this percentage in 2010 in the same country. Define the random variable Z in the following way: Z =T_15 -T_10. We do not observe T_15 and T_10 for all countries of the world. We can only hope to get data from a random sample of n countries, where n is much smaller than the number of countries in the world. We want to estimate the E (Z) for the distribution of countries in the world. Each group member should attempt one of the following questions. The group can consult and improve the answer and only submit the improved answer, but the original person who attempted each part must be named. 1. What does the hypothesis E (Z) = 0 mean? After explaining what this hypothesis means, describe whether or not E (Z) = 0 implies T_15 = T_10 in every country in the world. Then, describe whether or not E (Z) = 0 implies -Er_15; = -Er_10; 1= 1 1= 1 for the n countries in the sample [Note that "Yes it does" or "No it doesn't" are not sufficient, you are expected to justify your answer.] 2. Using the result that sample average is an unbiased estimator of the population mean, show that iz = MET_15; - MELT_10; is an unbiased estimator of E (Z) . 3. Using the result that the variance of the sample average of a random sample of n observations from a distribution with mean / and variance o' is , compute the variance of /z = > >_,T_15; - " Ein T_10;, for a random sample of n = 40 countries, when Var (T_15) = Var(T_10) = 100, and p the correlation coefficient between 7_15 and T_10 is 0.8. 4. Suppose that we have obtained data on T_15 and T_10 for a sample n countries and computed Z; =T_15; -T_10; for i = 1, ..., n. Using the matrix formula for the OLS estimator, show that if we regress this variable on a constant only, the OLS estimate of the constant will be ! )_, T_15;- = ELIT_10.Question 1 (understanding mean and variance of linear combinations of random variables) Let T_15 be the percentage of adult males who used tobacco products in 2015 in a country and T_10 be this percentage in 2010 in the same country. Define the random variable Z in the following way: Z =T_15 -T_10. We do not observe T_15 and T_10 for all countries of the world. We can only hope to get data from a random sample of n countries, where n is much smaller than the number of countries in the world. We want to estimate the E (Z) for the distribution of countries in the world. Each group member should attempt one of the following questions. The group can consult and improve the answer and only submit the improved answer, but the original person who attempted each part must be named. 1. What does the hypothesis E (Z) = 0 mean? After explaining what this hypothesis means, describe whether or not E (Z) = 0 implies T_15 = T_10 in every country in the world. Then, describe whether or not E (Z) = 0 implies -Er_15; = -Er_10; 1= 1 1= 1 for the n countries in the sample [Note that "Yes it does" or "No it doesn't" are not sufficient, you are expected to justify your answer.] 2. Using the result that sample average is an unbiased estimator of the population mean, show that iz = MET_15; - MELT_10; is an unbiased estimator of E (Z) . 3. Using the result that the variance of the sample average of a random sample of n observations from a distribution with mean / and variance o' is , compute the variance of /z = > >_,T_15; - " Ein T_10;, for a random sample of n = 40 countries, when Var (T_15) = Var(T_10) = 100, and p the correlation coefficient between 7_15 and T_10 is 0.8. 4. Suppose that we have obtained data on T_15 and T_10 for a sample n countries and computed Z; =T_15; -T_10; for i = 1, ..., n. Using the matrix formula for the OLS estimator, show that if we regress this variable on a constant only, the OLS estimate of the constant will be ! )_, T_15;- = ELIT_10.You may need to use the appropriate appendix table or technology to answer this question. Suppose In 2018, RAND Corporation researchers found that 77% of all individuals ages 66 to 65 are adequately prepared financially for retirement, Many financial planners have expressed concern that a smaller percentage of those in this age group who did not complete high school are adequately prepared financially for retirement. (a) Develop appropriate hypotheses such that rejection of N, will support the conclusion that the proportion of those who are adequately prepared financially for retirement is smaller for people in the 66-69 age group who did not complete high school than it is for the population of the 66-69 year old. (Enter In for a as needed.} (b) In a random sample of 300 people from the 65-69 age group who did not complete high school, 159 were not prepared financially for retirement. What is the p- value for your hypothesis test? Find the value of the test statistic. (Round your answer to two decimal places.) Find the p-value. (Round your answer to four decimal places.) p-value = (c] At a = 0.01, what is your conclusion? Do not reject He. We conclude that the percentage of 66- to 69-year-old individuals who are adequately prepared financially for retirement is smaller for those who did not complete high school. Reject Ho. We conclude that the percentage of 66- to 69-year-old individuals who are adequately prepared financially for retirement is smaller for those who did not complete high school. Reject Ho. We cannot conclude that the percentage of 66- to 69-year-old individuals who are adequately prepared financially for retirement is smaller for those who did not complete high school. Do not reject H,. We cannot conclude that the percentage of 66- to 69-vear-old individuals who are adequately pranarad financially far vaticanThe Pristine River Case The Pristine River has two polluting firms on its banks. Acme Industrial and Creative Chemicals each dump 100 tons of glop into the river each year. The cost of reducing glop emissions per ton equals $10 for Acme and $100 for Creative. The local government wants to reduce overall pollution from 200 tons to 50 tons. a. If the government knew the cost of reduction for each firm, what reductions would it impose to reach its overall goal? What would be the cost to each firm and the total cost to the firms together? b. In a more typical situation, the government would not know the cost of pollution reduction at each firm. If the government decided to reach its overall goal by imposing uniform reductions on the firms, calculate the reduction made by each firm, the cost to each firm, and the total cost to the firms together. c. Compare the total cost of pollution reduction in parts (a) and (b). If the government does not know the cost of reduction for each firm, is there still some way for it to reduce pollution to 50 tons at the total cost you calculated in part (a)? Explain.(b) Assume these firms behave like price takers, how much will they produce and what price will they charge? Draw the outcome on a graph. What is the individual firms producer surplus? What is the total producer surplus of the market? (3 marks) (c) Suppose the four firms join together to form a single firm monopoly. What price will the cartel charge and how much output does the cartel produce? What is producer surplus for the cartel? (Hint: the marginal cost curve for the cartel firm is the supply curve found in part (a) with MC replacing P in this equation and MR = 200 -Q). What happens to consumer surplus and total welfare? (4 marks) 4. Calculate the own price elasticity of demand in the following situations (a) A price rise from po = 2 to p1 = 5 causes quantity demand to fall from go = 30 to q1 = 15 (1 mark) (b) The demand curve is given by q = 1/p with the slope of the demand curve given by $ = -1/p2. What is the own price elasticity of demand at any point?(2 marks) (c) The demand curve is given by q = 4 - 2p with the slope of the demand curve given by dp = -2. What is the own price clasticity of demand at: (i) p = 4; and (ii) p = 10? (2 marks) 5. Suppose the cost of producing q cars and q2 trucks is 45000 +80q1 + 10092. Calculate the measure of economies of scope when (1 mark each): (a) q1 = 100 and q2 = 200 (b) q1 = 500 and q2 = 800 6. Answer the following questions True, False, or Uncertain. Give a brief explanation of your answer. 1 mark for correctly identifying T, F. or U. 4 marks for explanation. (a) If a single price monopoly is instituted in what was a competitive market, consumer surplus will decrease more than producers gain. (b) If a firm's marginal cost is less than the firm's marginal revenue then the firm should decrease output and increase price. (c) If price is less than average cost then a firm will shut down. (d) A monopolist does not make a shutdown decision in the short-run and an exit decision in the long run since only competitive firms make these decisions