Question
Sora Industries has 66 million outstanding shares, $130 million in debt, $58 million in cash, and the following projected free cash flow for the next
Sora Industries has 66 million outstanding shares, $130 million in debt, $58 million in cash, and the following projected free cash flow for the next four years
Earnings Forecast & FCF Forecast ($millions) | Year | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Sales | 433.0 | 468.0 | 516.0 | 547.0 | 574.3 | |
Growth V. Prior Yr | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | ||
COGS | (313.6) | (345.7) | (366.5) | (384.8) | ||
Gross Profit | 154.4 | 170.3 | 180.5 | 189.5 | ||
Selling, General & Admin. | (93.6) | (103.2) | (109.4) | (114.9) | ||
Depreciation | (7.0) | (7.5) | (9.0) | (9.5) | ||
EBIT | 53.8 | 59.6 | 62.1 | 65.2 | ||
Less: Income Tax at 4% | (21.5) | (23.8) | (24.8) | (26.1) | ||
Plus: Depreciation | 7.0 | 7.5 | 9.0 | 9.5 | ||
Less: Capital Expenditures | (7.7) | (10.0) | (9.9) | (10.4) | ||
Less: Increases in NWC | (6.3) | (8.6) | (5.6) | (4.9) | ||
Free Cash Flow | 25.3 | 24.6 | 30.8 | 33.3 | ||
A.) Suppose Sora's revenue and free cash flow are expected to grow at a 3.8% rate beyond year 4. If Sora's weighted average cost of capital is 12.0%, what is the value of Sora's stock based on this information?
B.) Sora's cost of goods sold was assumed to be 67% of sales. If its cost of goods sold is actually 70% of sales, how would the estimate of the stock's value change?
C.) Let's return to the assumptions of part (a) and suppose Sora can maintain its cost of goods sold at 67% of sales. However, now suppose Sora reduces its selling, general, and administrative expenses from 20% of sales to 16% of sales. What stock price would you estimate now? (Assume no other expenses, except taxes, are affected.)
D.) Sora's net working capital needs were estimated to be 18% of sales (which is their current level in year 0). If Sora can reduce this requirement to 12% of sales starting in year 1, but all other assumptions remain as in part (a),what stock price do you estimate for Sora? (Hint: This change will have the largest impact on Sora's free cash flow in year 1.)
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