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State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Rate of Return Stock A Stock B Stock C Stock D Stock Dollar invested Boom 20% -15%

State of Economy Probability of State of Economy Rate of Return
Stock A Stock B Stock C Stock D Stock Dollar invested
Boom 20% -15% 25% 33% -20% A 30,000
Good 40% -5% 12% 15% -5% B 45,000
Poor 20% 15% -7% -5% 12% C -
Bust 20% 31% -12% -9% 34% D 25,000

  1. What is the expected return and variance of a portfolio invested 25% each in A, B, C and D? Will the resulting portfolio structure bring you a higher expected return?
  2. How should you change the shares of securities A, B, C and D in your portfolio in order to minimize risk and maximize expected returns? Explain your answers.

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