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Statistics budget: changing intensity. How would the estimate of Medicaid/Self-Pay encounters change if ZMG Hospitalist Practice estimated that its Medicaid/Self-Pay admissions made up 3% of

Statistics budget: changing intensity. How would the estimate of Medicaid/Self-Pay encounters change if ZMG Hospitalist Practice estimated that its Medicaid/Self-Pay admissions made up 3% of the encounters and the Medicaid/Self-Pay follow-up encounters made up 9% of the encounters instead of the distribution of visits by intensity shown in Exhibit I.lb?

Changing intensity. ZMG Hospitalist Practice

Medicaid/Self-Pay encounters for 20X2.: 5% growth January through December.
Step 1. Forecasting total encounters.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
A Total encounters for 20X1 5,007 4,676 5,044 4,686 4,480 4,596 4,697 4,833 4,653 4,923 4,734 5,202 57,531
B Projected growth 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5%
C Total encounters for 20X2 5,257 4,910 5,296 4,920 4,704 4,826 4,932 5,075 4,886 5,169 4,971 5,462 60,408
Step 2. Estimating intensity and payor category percentages.
Medicaid/Self-Pay
D Admissions 3%
E Follow-up 9%
F Total 12%
20X2 estimated encounters by type for patients with Medicaid/Self-pay insurance.
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Total
G Admissions 158 147 159 148 141 145 148 152 147 155 149 164 1,813
H Follow-up 473 442 477 443 423 434 444 457 440 465 447 492 5,437
I Total 631 589 636 591 564 579 592 609 587 620 596 656 7,250

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