Question
Suppose that a particular disease has infected 1 in 1000 population. Lab test to detect infection of this disease has 99% accuracy on infected patient,
Suppose that a particular disease has infected 1 in 1000 population. Lab test to detect infection of this disease has 99% accuracy on infected patient, and 98% accuracy on non-infected patient. Suppose further that a patient has taken the identical test twice, and both times the result was positive.
Calculate the conditional probability that the patient is actually infected.
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