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Suppose that a security price P follows a geometric Brownian motion ( GBM ) under the real - world measure: d P ( t )
Suppose that a security price follows a geometric Brownian motion GBM under the realworld measure:
where and is a normal random variable under this measure, with the probability density:
Under the probability measure :
where:
Note that the expectation of any random variable under the measure is:
a Show that:
where
b Show that under the security price follows the GBM:
c Now, assume a discretetime stochastic discount factor SDF in
where Decompose the SDF into a timediscount component and a martingale component different from that used in points a and b Show that is indeed a martingale by showing that
for any Hint: Use the low of iterated expectations:
d Use the martingale you found in c to change the SDF pricing equation under the realworld measure
to the pricing equation under the measure. Give the interpretation to the measure Hint: Use equation
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