Suppose that = . , = . , y = 0.1. You just observed demand in April 2017.

Apr-14	108,264
May-14	455,261
Jun-14	525,863
Jul-14	569,352
Aug-14	556,780
Sep-14	477,545
Oct-14	331,818
Nov-14	111,393
Apr-15	150,271
May-15	545,678
Jun-15	547,238
Jul-15	620,865
Aug-15	597,505
Sep-15	523,322
Oct-15	332,597
Nov-15	126,407
Apr-16	194,514
May-16	573,739
Jun-16	645,448
Jul-16	716,335
Aug-16	688,174
Sep-16	632,218
Oct-16	397,707
Nov-16	151,945
Apr-17	196,327
May-17	589,852
Jun-17	748,078
Jul-17	877,338
Aug-17	859,471
Sep-17	747,633
Oct-17	569,930
Nov-17	151,728

1. What is the forecast for November 2017?