Suppose that you have received two job offers. Rearden Metal offers you a contract for 75,000 per year for the next two years while Wyatt Oil offers you a contract for 90,000 per year for the next two years. Both jobs are equivalent. Suppose that Rearden Metal's contract is certain, but Wyatt Oil has a 60% chance of going bankrupt at the end of the year. In the event that Wyatt Oil files for bankruptcy, it will cancel your contract and pay you the lowest amount possible for you to not quit. If you do quit, you expect you could find an new job paying 75,000 per year, but you would be unemployed for four months while searching for this