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Suppose there is a particular stock that has only a 1 0 % chance of going up . Someone is considering investing big, investing small,

Suppose there is a particular stock that has only a 10% chance of going up. Someone is considering investing big, investing small, and not investing at all. If they invest big, the payoff will be $200 if the stock goes up and the $50 if it goes down. If they invest small, the payoff will be $30 if the stock goes up and the $7.5 if it goes down. Obviously, not investing has a certain payoff of $0.
a) Construct the decision tree and calculate its expected value.
b) What is the value of perfect information for this problem?
c) What is the value of perfect control for this problem?
d) Suppose, a particular financial advisor is able to correctly predict what a stock will do 90% of the time. We are considering hiring this analyst to make a prediction for us about this stock. Find the value of the imperfect information that the analyst can provide.
e) Suppose the financial advisor offers one free prediction for a new customer, and does so here. The advisor predicts the stock will go up. Now what is the value of perfect information?

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