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Suppose you are a British venture capitalist holding a major stake in an e - commerce start - up in Silicon Valley. As a British

Suppose you are a British venture capitalist holding a major stake in an e-commerce start-up in Silicon Valley. As a British resident, you are concerned with the pound value of your U.S. equity position. Assume that if the American economy booms in the future, your equity stake will be worth $1,001,980, and the exchange rate will be $1.4/. If the American economy experiences a recession, on the other hand, your American equity stake will be worth $502,240, and the exchange rate will be $1.6/. You assess that the American economy will experience a boom with a 50 percent probability and a recession with a 50 percent probability.

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