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Suppose you are a US based importer of goods from the UK. You expect the value of the UK pound to increase against US dollar
- Suppose you are a US based importer of goods from the UK. You expect the value of the UK pound to increase against US dollar over the next year. You will be making payment on a shipment of imported goods in 1 year and want to hedge your currency exposure.
Assume the US money market rate is 3.6% and the UK money market rate is 2.8%. The current spot rate is $1.50/. Also assume that premium on a call option expiring 1 year from now and with a strike/exercise price of $1.46/ is $0.03/.
- Should you use a long or short forward contract on the UK pound to hedge the currency risk? What should the no-arbitrage 1-year forward rate be?
- At what future spot exchange rate 1 year from now will you be indifferent between the forward and option hedges?
- Based on your solutions to parts a. and b. above, which hedging alternative should you choose?
- It is now 6 months since you entered into the forward contract (assuming you chose to use the forward hedge alternative). The spot rate is $1.53/ and interest rates are the same as before. What is the value of your forward position?
- It is now 6 months since you entered into the option contract (assuming you chose to use the option hedge alternative). The spot rate is $1.53/ and interest rates are the same as befor What is the value of your option position if you choose to exercise it?
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